Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.124806 0.139154 0.155011 0.173931 0.196019 0.221140 0.252094
2024-10-06 0.107839 0.128003 0.152253 0.183984 0.225043 0.277289 0.350321
2024-10-13 0.091099 0.113184 0.141468 0.181212 0.237093 0.315272 0.437608
2024-10-20 0.080777 0.104210 0.135839 0.183108 0.254693 0.364100 0.555358
2024-10-27 0.071138 0.094453 0.127231 0.178673 0.261464 0.397863 0.661029
2024-11-03 0.066522 0.090877 0.126543 0.185394 0.286374 0.466932 0.856934
2024-11-10 0.062435 0.087425 0.125352 0.190807 0.309936 0.540225 1.097249
2024-11-17 0.057462 0.081998 0.120278 0.188718 0.319338 0.588764 1.308048
2024-11-24 0.052653 0.076297 0.114025 0.183486 0.321479 0.622588 1.501539
2024-12-01 0.047659 0.069835 0.105810 0.173494 0.312077 0.627830 1.617437
2024-12-08 0.044904 0.066740 0.102921 0.172931 0.322081 0.682254 1.928938
2024-12-15 0.043009 0.064878 0.101926 0.175789 0.340056 0.763229 2.407827
2024-12-22 0.040194 0.061366 0.097892 0.172538 0.344666 0.813591 2.838132
2024-12-29 0.039054 0.060637 0.098835 0.179698 0.376230 0.958385 3.929115
2025-01-05 0.036592 0.057405 0.094821 0.175793 0.379285 1.016059 4.667635
2025-01-12 0.034992 0.055572 0.093272 0.177059 0.396463 1.132276 6.065760
2025-01-19 0.032896 0.052686 0.089414 0.172574 0.396782 1.187613 7.171751
2025-01-26 0.032135 0.052177 0.090171 0.178877 0.430029 1.396569 10.557435
2025-02-02 0.031297 0.051453 0.090410 0.183986 0.461467 1.624659 15.702144
2025-02-09 0.029864 0.049495 0.087921 0.181970 0.469650 1.749184 20.393344
2025-02-16 0.028281 0.047151 0.084435 0.176971 0.466722 1.815635 24.734982
2025-02-23 0.026423 0.044177 0.079411 0.167437 0.446147 1.772561 26.134817
2025-03-02 0.025455 0.042881 0.077878 0.166897 0.457505 1.928485 36.014401